numb3r_5ev3n: Dragon pendant I got at a renfaire. (Default)
numb3r_5ev3n ([personal profile] numb3r_5ev3n) wrote2024-07-14 04:14 pm

My take on the Trump shooting:

The shooter is the typical white male, registered Republican gun enthusiast: not antifa, or any other demographic. I suspect that this is what happens when you urge people to go out and hunt down "pedophiles" and "groomers," and then your candidate for political office turns out to be a pedophile and a groomer, if the recently-released Epstein Files are anything to go by.

Other than that, it ultimately doesn't change anything. The media will figuratively pee all over itself in breathless excitement over it, probably for weeks. But I'm not sure it's going to sway people who were always going to vote for him, or who were never going to vote for him the first place. EDIT 7/17/2024: This is now confirmed. Trump hasn't gotten a polling boost after the shooting.)

Ultimately I have the same thoughts about Biden's verbal gaffes from last week. They're both old men, but people pretty much know the stakes and the score, and are going to be voting either for or against Project 2025 (or whatever the GOP decides to rebrand it as.)

I'm scared, but not actually as scared as I was in 2016. Maybe it's all the shit going on in my personal life right now. I'm still voting for Biden, if he does end up being the candidate by the time November rolls around. If not, I'm voting for Kamala Harris or whoever else is running against Trump. I'm voting to defeat Trump.

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